Age prediction from medical images or other health-related non-imaging data
is an important approach to data-driven aging research, providing knowledge of
how much information a specific tissue or organ carries about the chronological
age of the individual. In this work, we studied the prediction of age from
computed tomography angiography (CTA) images, which provide detailed
representations of the heart morphology, with the goals of (i) studying the
relationship between morphology and aging, and (ii) developing a novel
\emph{morphological heart age} biomarker. We applied an image
registration-based method that standardizes the images from the whole cohort
into a single space. We then extracted supervoxels (using unsupervised
segmentation), and corresponding robust features of density and local volume,
which provide a detailed representation of the heart morphology while being
robust to registration errors. Machine learning models are then trained to fit
regression models from these features to the chronological age. We applied the
method to a subset of the images from the Swedish CArdioPulomonary bioImage
Study (SCAPIS) dataset, consisting of 721 females and 666 males. We observe a
mean absolute error of
2.74 years for females and
2.77 years for males. The
predictions from different sub-regions of interest were observed to be more
highly correlated with the predictions from the whole heart, compared to the
chronological age, revealing a high consistency in the predictions from
morphology. Saliency analysis was also performed on the prediction models to
study what regions are associated positively and negatively with the predicted
age. This resulted in detailed association maps where the density and volume of
known, as well as some novel sub-regions of interest, are determined to be
important. The saliency analysis aids in the interpretability of the models and
their predictions.