space-physics
The challenge of \textbf{imbalanced regression} arises when standard Empirical Risk Minimization (ERM) biases models toward high-frequency regions of the data distribution, causing severe degradation on rare but high-impact ``tail'' events. Existing strategies uch as loss re-weighting or synthetic over-sampling often introduce noise, distort the underlying distribution, or add substantial algorithmic complexity. We introduce \textbf{PARIS} (Pruning Algorithm via the Representer theorem for Imbalanced Scenarios), a principled framework that mitigates imbalance by \emph{optimizing the training set itself}. PARIS leverages the representer theorem for neural networks to compute a \textbf{closed-form representer deletion residual}, which quantifies the exact change in validation loss caused by removing a single training point \emph{without retraining}. Combined with an efficient Cholesky rank-one downdating scheme, PARIS performs fast, iterative pruning that eliminates uninformative or performance-degrading samples. We use a real-world space weather example, where PARIS reduces the training set by up to 75\% while preserving or improving overall RMSE, outperforming re-weighting, synthetic oversampling, and boosting baselines. Our results demonstrate that representer-guided dataset pruning is a powerful, interpretable, and computationally efficient approach to rare-event regression.
In-space manufacturing technologies are vital for enabling advanced space missions and addressing logistical limitations of space exploration. While additive manufacturing has progressed rapidly, it still falls short of delivering the ultra-smooth surfaces required for optical elements. Fluidic Shaping is a novel method that harnesses surface tension under microgravity to form optical components with exceptionally smooth surfaces. This study demonstrates the feasibility and potential of Fluidic Shaping as a method for manufacturing optical components in space through two experiments performed aboard the International Space Station (ISS) during the Ax-1 mission. The first experiment involved fabricating centimeter-scale polymer lenses, solidifying them via ultraviolet (UV) curing, and analyzing the resultant optics upon their return to Earth. While sub-nanometric surface smoothness was achieved, some polymer lenses displayed unexpected thermo-chemical deformations, indicating complex polymerization dynamics unique to the microgravity environment. In the second experiment, a large-scale, 172 mm diameter water lens was deployed, confirming Fluidic Shaping's scalability and demonstrating basic optical functionality through image analysis. These experiments collectively underline the technique's relevance for both small-scale optics and large-aperture applications. Our results highlight critical considerations for future research, including optimizing polymerization processes and refining liquid-handling methods to advance practical, in-space optical manufacturing capabilities.
We investigate energetic particle diffusion in the inner heliosphere (approximately 0.06-0.3 AU) explored by Parker Solar Probe (PSP). Parallel (kappa_parallel) and perpendicular (kappa_perp) diffusion coefficients are calculated using second-order quasi-linear theory (SOQLT) and unified nonlinear transport (UNLT) theory, respectively. PSP's in situ measurements of magnetic turbulence spectra, including sub-Alfvenic solar wind, are decomposed into parallel and perpendicular wavenumber spectra via a composite two-component turbulence model. These spectra are then used to compute kappa_parallel and kappa_perp across energies ranging from sub-GeV to GeV. Our results reveal a strong energy and radial distance dependence in kappa_parallel. While kappa_perp remains much smaller, it can increase in regions with relatively high turbulence levels delta B / B0. To validate our results, we estimate kappa_parallel using the upstream time-intensity profile of a solar energetic particle event observed by PSP and compare it with theoretical values from different diffusion models. Our results suggest that the SOQLT-calculated parallel diffusion generally shows better agreement with SEP intensity-derived estimates than the classic QLT model. This indicates that the SOQLT framework, which incorporates resonance broadening and nonlinear corrections and does not require an ad hoc pitch-angle cutoff, may provide a more physically motivated description of energetic particle diffusion near the Sun.
We present a new scale decomposition method to investigate turbulence in wavenumber-frequency space. Using 3D magnetohydrodynamic turbulence simulations, we show that magnetic fluctuations with time scales longer than the nonlinear time exhibit an inverse cascade toward even smaller frequencies. Low frequency magnetic fluctuations support turbulence, acting as an energy reservoir that is converted into plasma kinetic energy, the latter cascading toward large wavenumbers and frequencies, where it is dissipated. Our results shed new light on the spatio-temporal properties of turbulence, potentially explaining the origin and role of low frequency turbulent fluctuations in the solar wind.
We introduce a family of solutions of Einstein's gravity minimally coupled to an anisotropic fluid, describing asymptotically flat black holes with "hair" and a regular horizon. These spacetimes can describe the geometry of galaxies harboring supermassive black holes, and are extensions of Einstein clusters to include horizons. They are useful to constrain the environment surrounding astrophysical black holes, using electromagnetic or gravitational-wave observations. We compute the main properties of the geometry, including the corrections to the ringdown stage induced by the external matter and fluxes by orbiting particles. The leading order effect to these corrections is a gravitational-redshift, but gravitational-wave propagation is affected by the galactic potential in a nontrivial way, and may be characterized with future observatories.
In an idealized system where four current channels interact in a two-dimensional periodic setting, we follow the detailed evolution of current sheets (CSs) forming in between the channels, as a result of a large-scale merging. A central X-point collapses and a gradually extending CS marks the site of continuous magnetic reconnection. Using grid-adaptive, non-relativistic, resistive magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) simulations, we establish that slow, near-steady Sweet-Parker reconnection transits to a chaotic, multi-plasmoid fragmented state, when the Lundquist number exceeds about ten to the fourth power, well in the range of previous studies on plasmoid instability. The extreme resolution employed in the MHD study shows significant magnetic island substructures. With relativistic test-particle simulations, we explore how charged particles can be accelerated in the vicinity of an O-point, either at embedded tiny-islands within larger "monster"-islands or near the centers of monster-islands. While the planar MHD setting artificially causes strong acceleration in the ignored third direction, it also allows for the full analytic study of all aspects leading to the acceleration and the in-plane-projected trapping of particles in the vicinities of O-points. Our analytic approach uses a decomposition of the particle velocity in slow- and fast-changing components, akin to the Reynolds decomposition in turbulence studies. Our analytic description is validated with several representative test-particle simulations. We find that after an initial non-relativistic motion throughout a monster island, particles can experience acceleration in the vicinity of an O-point beyond 0.7c, at which speed the acceleration is at its highest efficiency
This paper explores the problem of analytically approximating the orbital state for a subset of orbits in a rotating potential with oblateness and ellipticity perturbations. This is done by isolating approximate differential equations for the orbit radius and other elements. The conservation of the Jacobi integral is used to make the problem solvable to first-order in the perturbations. The solutions are characterized as small deviations from an unperturbed circular orbit. The approximations are developed for near-circular orbits with initial mean motion n0n_{0} around a body with rotation rate cc. The approximations are shown to be valid for values of angular rate ratio Γ=c/n0>1\Gamma = c/n_{0} > 1, with accuracy decreasing as Γ1\Gamma \rightarrow 1, and singularities at and near Γ=1\Gamma = 1. Extensions of the methodology to eccentric orbits are discussed, with commentary on the challenges of obtaining generally valid solutions for both near-circular and eccentric orbits.
Space debris, also known as "space junk," presents a significant challenge for all space exploration activities, including those involving human-onboard spacecraft such as SpaceX's Crew Dragon and the International Space Station. The amount of debris in space is rapidly increasing and poses a significant environmental concern. Various studies and research have been conducted on space debris capture mechanisms, including contact and contact-less capturing methods, in Earth's orbits. While advancements in technology, such as telecommunications, weather forecasting, high-speed internet, and GPS, have benefited society, their improper and unplanned usage has led to the creation of debris. The growing amount of debris poses a threat of collision with the International Space Station, shuttle, and high-value satellites, and is present in different parts of Earth's orbit, varying in size, shape, speed, and mass. As a result, capturing and removing space debris is a challenging task. This review article provides an overview of space debris statistics and specifications, and focuses on ongoing mitigation strategies, preventive measures, and statutory guidelines for removing and preventing debris creation, emphasizing the serious issue of space debris damage to space agencies and relevant companies.
Plasma waves are observed in almost all the solar system objects. The planetary ionospheres are capable of sustaining plasma waves which are observed there and play an important role in the ionospheric dynamics. Venus does not possess a global magnetic field unlike Earth. The solar EUV radiation ionizes the neutrals and generates a plasma environment around Venus which can sustain plasma waves. Very few attempts are made to observe all plasma waves that can exist around Venus and that too with instruments having a limited dynamic range such as with Pioneer Venus Orbiter and Venus Express. However, there are some other plasma waves which can exist around Venus but are yet to be observed.
On 2010 August 14, a wide-angled coronal mass ejection (CME) was observed. This solar eruption originated from a destabilized filament that connected two active regions and the unwinding of this filament gave the eruption an untwisting motion that drew the attention of many observers. In addition to the erupting filament and the associated CME, several other low-coronal signatures that typically indicate the occurrence of a solar eruption were associated to this event. However, contrary to what is expected, the fast CME (v>900 km s1\mathrm{v}>900~\mathrm{km}~\mathrm{s}^{-1}) was accompanied by only a weak C4.4 flare. We investigate the various eruption signatures that were observed for this event and focus on the kinematic evolution of the filament in order to determine its eruption mechanism. Had this solar eruption occurred just a few days earlier, it could have been a significant event for space weather. The risk to underestimate the strength of this eruption based solely on the C4.4 flare illustrates the need to include all eruption signatures in event analyses in order to obtain a complete picture of a solar eruption and assess its possible space weather impact.
Alfvén waves (AWs) excited by the cosmic-ray (CR) streaming instability (CRSI) are a fundamental ingredient for CR confinement. The effectiveness of self-confinement relies on a balance between CRSI growth rate and damping mechanisms acting on quasi-parallel AWs excited by CRs. One relevant mechanism is the so-called turbulent damping, in which an AW packet injected in pre-existing turbulence undergoes a cascade process due to its nonlinear interaction with fluctuations of the background. The turbulent damping of an AW packet in pre-existing magnetohydrodynamic turbulence is re-examined, revised, and extended to include most-recent theories of MHD turbulence that account for dynamic alignment and reconnection-mediated regime. The case in which the role of feedback of CR-driven AWs on pre-existing turbulence is important will also be discussed. Particular attention is given to the nonlinearity parameter χw\chi^w that estimates the strength of nonlinear interaction between CR-driven AWs and background fluctuations. We point out the difference between χw\chi^w and χz\chi^z that instead describes the strength of nonlinear interactions between pre-existing fluctuations. When χw\chi^w is properly taken into account, one finds that (i) the turbulent damping rate of quasi-parallel AWs in anisotropic turbulence depends on the background-fluctuations' amplitude to the third power, hence is strongly suppressed, and (ii) the dependence on the AW's wavelength (and thus on the CR gyro-radius from which it is excited) is different from what has been previously obtained. Finally, (iii) when dynamic alignment of cascading fluctuations and the possibility of a reconnection-mediated range is included in the picture, the turbulent damping rate exhibits novel regimes and breaks. Finally, a criterion for CR-feedback is derived and simple phenomenological models of CR-modified turbulent scaling are provided.
An arbitrary unknown quantum state cannot be precisely measured or perfectly replicated. However, quantum teleportation allows faithful transfer of unknown quantum states from one object to another over long distance, without physical travelling of the object itself. Long-distance teleportation has been recognized as a fundamental element in protocols such as large-scale quantum networks and distributed quantum computation. However, the previous teleportation experiments between distant locations were limited to a distance on the order of 100 kilometers, due to photon loss in optical fibres or terrestrial free-space channels. An outstanding open challenge for a global-scale "quantum internet" is to significantly extend the range for teleportation. A promising solution to this problem is exploiting satellite platform and space-based link, which can conveniently connect two remote points on the Earth with greatly reduced channel loss because most of the photons' propagation path is in empty space. Here, we report the first quantum teleportation of independent single-photon qubits from a ground observatory to a low Earth orbit satellite - through an up-link channel - with a distance up to 1400 km. To optimize the link efficiency and overcome the atmospheric turbulence in the up-link, a series of techniques are developed, including a compact ultra-bright source of multi-photon entanglement, narrow beam divergence, high-bandwidth and high-accuracy acquiring, pointing, and tracking (APT). We demonstrate successful quantum teleportation for six input states in mutually unbiased bases with an average fidelity of 0.80+/-0.01, well above the classical limit. This work establishes the first ground-to-satellite up-link for faithful and ultra-long-distance quantum teleportation, an essential step toward global-scale quantum internet.
The relationship between the peak velocities of high-speed solar wind streams near Earth and the areas of their solar source regions, i.e., coronal holes, has been known since the 1970s, but it is still physically not well understood. We perform 3D magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) simulations using the European Heliospheric Forecasting Information Asset (EUHFORIA) code to show that this empirical relationship forms during the propagation phase of high-speed streams from the Sun to Earth. For this purpose, we neglect the acceleration phase of high-speed streams, and project the areas of coronal holes to a sphere at 0.1 au. We then vary only the areas and latitudes of the coronal holes. The velocity, temperature, and density in the cross section of the corresponding highspeed streams at 0.1 au are set to constant, homogeneous values. Finally, we propagate the associated high-speed streams through the inner heliosphere using the EUHFORIA code. The simulated high-speed stream peak velocities at Earth reveal a linear dependence on the area of their source coronal holes. The slopes of the relationship decrease with increasing latitudes of the coronal holes, and the peak velocities saturate at a value of about 730 km/s, similar to the observations. These findings imply that the empirical relationship between the coronal hole areas and high-speed stream peak velocities does not describe the acceleration phase of high-speed streams, but is a result of the high-speed stream propagation from the Sun to Earth.
Capella Space, which designs, builds, and operates a constellation of Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) Earth-imaging small satellites, faced new challenges with the onset of Solar Cycle 25. By mid-2022, it had become clear that solar activity levels were far exceeding the 2019 prediction published by the National Atmospheric and Oceanic Administration's (NOAA) Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). This resulted in the atmospheric density of low Earth orbit (LEO) increasing 2-3x higher than predicted. While this raises difficulties for all satellite operators, Capella's satellites are especially sensitive to aerodynamic drag due to the high surface area of their large deployable radar reflectors. This unpredicted increase in drag threatened premature deorbit and reentry of some of Capella's fleet of spacecraft. This paper explores Capella's strategic response to this problem at all layers of the satellite lifecycle, examining the engineering challenges and insights gained from adapting an operational constellation to rapidly changing space weather conditions. A key development was the implementation of "low drag mode", which increased on-orbit satellite lifetime by 24% and decreased accumulated momentum from aerodynamic torques by 20-30%. The paper shares operational tradeoffs and lessons from the development, deployment, and validation of this flight mode, offering valuable insights for satellite operators facing similar challenges in LEO's current elevated drag environment.
We present the first results study of the effects of the powerful Gamma Ray Burst GRB 221009A that occurred on October 9, 2022, and was serendipitously recorded by electron and proton detectors aboard the four spacecraft of the NASA THEMIS mission. Long-duration gamma-ray bursts (GRBs) are powerful cosmic explosions, signaling the death of massive stars, and, among them, GRB 221009A is so far the brightest burst ever observed due to its enormous energy (Eγiso1055E_{\gamma iso}\sim10^{55} erg) and proximity (the redshift is $z\sim 0.1505$). The THEMIS mission launched in 2008 was designed to study the plasma processes in the Earth's magnetosphere and the solar wind. The particle flux measurements from the two inner magnetosphere THEMIS probes THA and THE and ARTEMIS spacecraft THB and THC orbiting the Moon captured the dynamics of GRB 221009A with a high-time resolution of more than 20 measurements per second. This allowed us to resolve the fine structure of the gamma-ray burst and determine the temporal scales of the two main bursts spiky structure complementing the results from gamma-ray space telescopes and detectors.
This paper summarises some of the recent progress that has been made in understanding astrophysical plasma turbulence in the solar wind, from in situ spacecraft observations. At large scales, where the turbulence is predominantly Alfvenic, measurements of critical balance, residual energy, and 3D structure are discussed, along with comparison to recent models of strong Alfvenic turbulence. At these scales, a few percent of the energy is also in compressive fluctuations, and their nature, anisotropy, and relation to the Alfvenic component is described. In the small scale kinetic range, below the ion gyroscale, the turbulence becomes predominantly kinetic Alfven in nature, and measurements of the spectra, anisotropy, and intermittency of this turbulence are discussed with respect to recent cascade models. One of the major remaining questions is how the turbulent energy is dissipated, and some recent work on this question, in addition to future space missions which will help to answer it, are briefly discussed.
The solar X-ray irradiance is significantly heightened during the course of a solar flare, which can cause radio blackouts due to ionization of the atoms in the ionosphere. As the duration of a solar flare is not related to the size of that flare, it is not directly clear how long those blackouts can persist. Using a random forest regression model trained on data taken from X-ray light curves, we have developed a direct forecasting method that predicts how long the event will remain above background levels. We test this on a large collection of flares observed with GOES-15, and show that it generally outperforms simple linear regression. This forecast is computationally light enough to be performed in real time, allowing for the prediction to be made during the course of a flare.
Solar Energetic Particles (SEPs) are an important component of Space Weather, including radiation hazard to humans and electronic equipment, and the ionisation of the Earth's atmosphere. We review the key observations of SEPs, our current understanding of their acceleration and transport, and discuss how this knowledge is incorporated within Space Weather forecasting tools. Mechanisms for acceleration during solar flares and at shocks driven by Coronal Mass Ejections are discussed, as well as the timing relationships between signatures of solar eruptive events and the detection of SEPs in interplanetary space. Evidence on how the parameters of SEP events are related to those of the parent solar activity is reviewed and transport effects influencing SEP propagation to near-Earth locations are examined. Finally, the approaches to forecasting Space Weather SEP effects are discussed. We conclude that both flare and CME shock acceleration contribute to Space Weather relevant SEP populations and need to be considered within forecasting tools.
The transition from subAlfvénic to superAlfvénic flow in the solar atmosphere is examined by means of Parker Solar Probe (PSP) measurements during solar encounters 8 to 14. Around 220 subAlfvénic periods with a duration \ge 10 minutes are identified. The distribution of their durations, heliocentric distances, and Alfvén Mach number are analyzed and compared with a global magnetohydrodynamic model of the solar corona and wind, which includes turbulence effects. The results are consistent with a patchy and fragmented morphology, and suggestive of a turbulent Alfvén zone within which the transition from subAlfvénic to superAlfvénic flow occurs over an extended range of helioradii. These results inform and establish context for detailed analyses of subAlfvénic coronal plasma that are expected to emerge from PSP's final mission phase, as well as for NASA's planned PUNCH mission.
Cosimo Bambi outlines a conceptual interstellar mission using laser-propelled nanocrafts to directly investigate a nearby isolated black hole, aiming to achieve unprecedented precision in testing General Relativity, the nature of event horizons, and fundamental constants in strong gravitational fields.
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