Universidad Externado de Colombia
Considering the flexibility and applicability of Bayesian modeling, in this work we revise the main characteristics of two hierarchical models in a regression setting. We study the full probabilistic structure of the models along with the full conditional distribution for each model parameter. Under our hierarchical extensions, we allow the mean of the second stage of the model to have a linear dependency on a set of covariates. The Gibbs sampling algorithms used to obtain samples when fitting the models are fully described and derived. In addition, we consider a case study in which the plant size is characterized as a function of nitrogen soil concentration and a grouping factor (farm).
Case 03 of the Special Jurisdiction for Peace (JEP), focused on the so-called false positives in Colombia, represents one of the most harrowing episodes of the Colombian armed conflict. This article proposes an innovative methodology based on natural language analysis and semantic co-occurrence models to explore, systematize, and visualize narrative patterns present in the public hearings of victims and appearing parties. By constructing skipgram networks and analyzing their modularity, the study identifies thematic clusters that reveal regional and procedural status differences, providing empirical evidence on dynamics of victimization, responsibility, and acknowledgment in this case. This computational approach contributes to the collective construction of both judicial and extrajudicial truth, offering replicable tools for other transitional justice cases. The work is grounded in the pillars of truth, justice, reparation, and non-repetition, proposing a critical and in-depth reading of contested memories.
Analyzing texts such as open-ended responses, headlines, or social media posts is a time- and labor-intensive process highly susceptible to bias. LLMs are promising tools for text analysis, using either a predefined (top-down) or a data-driven (bottom-up) taxonomy, without sacrificing quality. Here we present a step-by-step tutorial to efficiently develop, test, and apply taxonomies for analyzing unstructured data through an iterative and collaborative process between researchers and LLMs. Using personal goals provided by participants as an example, we demonstrate how to write prompts to review datasets and generate a taxonomy of life domains, evaluate and refine the taxonomy through prompt and direct modifications, test the taxonomy and assess intercoder agreements, and apply the taxonomy to categorize an entire dataset with high intercoder reliability. We discuss the possibilities and limitations of using LLMs for text analysis.
AI systems increasingly support human decision-making across domains of professional, skill-based, and personal activity. While previous work has examined how AI might affect human autonomy globally, the effects of AI on domain-specific autonomy -- the capacity for self-governed action within defined realms of skill or expertise -- remain understudied. We analyze how AI decision-support systems affect two key components of domain-specific autonomy: skilled competence (the ability to make informed judgments within one's domain) and authentic value-formation (the capacity to form genuine domain-relevant values and preferences). By engaging with prior investigations and analyzing empirical cases across medical, financial, and educational domains, we demonstrate how the absence of reliable failure indicators and the potential for unconscious value shifts can erode domain-specific autonomy both immediately and over time. We then develop a constructive framework for autonomy-preserving AI support systems. We propose specific socio-technical design patterns -- including careful role specification, implementation of defeater mechanisms, and support for reflective practice -- that can help maintain domain-specific autonomy while leveraging AI capabilities. This framework provides concrete guidance for developing AI systems that enhance rather than diminish human agency within specialized domains of action.
In this article, we explore how the escalating victimization of civilians during civil wars is mirrored in the fragmented distribution of territorial control, focusing on the Colombian armed conflict. Through an exhaustive characterization of the topology of bipartite and projected networks of both armed groups and municipalities, we are able to describe changes in territorial configurations across different periods between 1980 and 2007. Our findings show that during periods dominated by a small set of actors, networks adopt a centralized node-periphery structure, while during times of widespread conflict, areas of influence of armed groups overlap in complex ways. Also, by employing stochastic block models for count data, we identify cohesive municipal communities during 2000-2001, shaped by both geographic proximity and affinities between armed structures, as well as the existence of internally dispersed groups with a high likelihood of interaction.
The present paper deals with integral classes ξpH2p+1(L2p+1×L2p+1)\xi_p\in H_{2p+1}(L^{2p+1}\times L^{2p+1}) which are counterexamples for the Steenrod realization problem, where L2p+1L^{2p+1} is the (2p+1)(2p+1)-dimensional lens space and p3p\geq 3 is a prime number. For p=3p=3, this is Thom's famous counterexample. We give a geometric description of this class using the theory of stratifolds. As a consequence, we obtain a geometric interpretation of the obstruction to realizability in terms of the Atiyah--Hirzebruch spectral sequence.
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